一 | 本文转自公众号：凯特旅游新西兰KateTravel 澳大利亚气象局称，影响新西兰2023/24的厄尔尼诺现象现已正式结束。
二 | (Yonhap)South Korea’s business sentiment rose to its highest level in nearly four years in August, driven by improving confidence in the manufacturing sector led by semiconductors, increased passenger demand during the summer vacation season, and a recovery in the information and communications technology (ICT) sector.According to the Bank of Korea on Wednesday, the composite business sentiment index (CBSI) for all industries rose 1.1 points from July to 99.6 in August. It was the highest level since September 2022, when the index stood at 102, marking a second straight monthly increase after falling 1.2 points in June and rising 0.8 points in July.The CBSI is a measure of corporate sentiment calculated from five major indicators for manufacturing and four for non-manufacturing. A reading above the 2003-2025 average of 100 signals optimism, while a reading below 100 signals pessimism.The BOK noted that manufacturing, led by semiconductors, has driven the recovery in business sentiment since the downturn in late 2022, while nonmanufacturing also improved this month, pushing overall sentiment to a nearly four-year high.The manufacturing CBSI rose 0.6 point to 103.8 in August, extending its gains to five straight months and reaching its highest level since June 2022, when it was 107.1. It has stayed above its long-term average of 100 for four months after surpassing it in May at 100.8, its first reading above 100 in three years and nine months.Higher finished-product inventories, up 0.6 point, and improved financial conditions, up 0.4 point, drove the August gain.The CBSI for large companies fell 1.6 points to 103.7, ending a five-month rise, while the index for small and midsize enterprises rose 2.2 points to 99.8, its highest since June 2023, when it was 103.2. Sentiment among small and midsize enterprises has risen for two straight months since July.The CBSI for export-oriented companies rose 1 point to 108.5, its highest since May 2022, when it was 114. The index for domestic-oriented companies fell 0.6 point to 99.4.The BOK, however, called the declines at large and domestic-oriented companies temporary, saying sentiment has broadly improved across companies of all sizes and both export- and domestic-oriented businesses since the start of the year.The nonmanufacturing CBSI rose 1.5 points to 96.7, rebounding after two straight monthly declines from May’s 97.5. Higher sales, up 0.6 point, and improved financial conditions, up 0.5 point, led the gain.The BOK said nonmanufacturing sentiment improved more sharply as transportation and passenger demand increased during the summer vacation season and the broadcasting, film and services industries recovered.Among manufacturers, sentiment in electronics, video and telecommunications equipment improved on higher printed circuit board prices and the use of stockpiled inventories as operating rates were reduced during the vacation season.Food products also improved as the exchange rate lowered prices for imported ingredients and selling prices rose for products including processed meat.In nonmanufacturing, transportation and warehousing sentiment improved on higher ocean freight rates and increased passenger demand, while information and communications sentiment rose on better performance among video, broadcasting and IT service companies.The outlook for September also improved, with the all-industry CBSI forecast rising 3.1 points from August to 99.6. The manufacturing outlook rose 2 points to 102.5 and the nonmanufacturing outlook 3.9 points to 97.6.The Economic Sentiment Index (ESI), which combines the BSI and Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI), rose 1.5 points to 99.4 in August. Its seasonally adjusted cyclical component rose 0.4 points to 96.9, the highest since September 2022, when it was 97.9.The survey was conducted from August 10 to 18 among 3,524 companies nationwide, with 3,170 responding, including 1,770 manufacturers and 1,400 nonmanufacturers.。 Advertise with us 这是近十年来新西兰第一次经历厄尔尼诺现象。 厄尔尼诺现象是由西太平洋的暖水上升到地表，将热量推入大气引起的。 厄尔尼诺现象带来什么？ 导致北岛和南岛北部和东部的天气更加干燥，而西部地区的降雨量增多； 东部地区干旱，在经历了几个月的少雨和西风干燥之后，火灾可能性变大； 一年中大部分时间在刮西风； 六年来最冷的8月； 十二年来最冷的3月。
三 | 南坎特伯雷部分地区经历了异常温暖的一年。
四 | 在刚刚过去的这个夏季，特卡波湖的平均最高气温为 16.3 摄氏度，比正常高出 1.4 摄氏度，是有记录以来的最高气温。特卡波湖取代阳光之城尼尔森，成为新西兰2023年阳光最多的地方。 库克山气象站记录的平均气温为 9.6 摄氏度，较正常温度高出 1 摄氏度，这是自 1929 年有记录以来的第三高温度。平均最高气温达到 15.5 摄氏度，是 1929 年以来的最高气温。 Pukaki普卡基机场记录了 2023 年第二高的极端最高气温，达到 33.7 摄氏度。 库克山机场在8月1日、9月17日、11月15日和12月9日记录了每小时146公里、每小时178公里、每小时172公里和每小时133公里的极端阵风——均为2000年有记录以来的最高纪录。 皇后镇地区由于担心山火，随时关闭自然保护区。 冬天我们能期待什么？ 虽然气候恢复到“中性”，但厄尔尼诺现象仍然没有完全结束。 这可能意味着西风和干燥在某些地区会持续更长时间。
五 | 新西兰干旱指数显示，北岛东海岸大部分地区以及马尔堡和坎特伯雷沿海地区持续干旱。 在北岛各地，目前的指导意见显示，未来三个月，这些地区的降雨量几乎没有高于正常水平的强烈信号。 而秋末和冬季是获得地下水补充以补充夏季损失的水分的时候。 随着冬季类似厄尔尼诺现象的模式逐渐被中性气候所取代，天气可能会出现更多变化。 预计未来几个月海水温度将处于平均水平或高于平均水平。 2024 年晚些时候呢？ 拉尼娜现象可能将回归。 美国国家海洋和大气管理局预计今年出现拉尼娜现象的可能性为 85%，而这将是近十年来第四次出现拉尼娜现象 “如果你是一名滑雪爱好者，或者从事滑雪行业，这显然不是一个好消息。” 厄尔尼诺VS拉尼娜 在全球发生厄尔尼诺现象的时候，新西兰的夏季西风更多，这让新西兰的东海岸变得干旱，而西海岸地区则容易产生洪涝灾害；而在新西兰的冬季，则会吹来更多的南风，带来南极附近的冷空气，让新西兰陆地和附近的海洋变得更冷；在春秋二季则会让新西兰常常吹起西南风。 而拉尼娜现象发生时，新西兰北岛东北部地区会变得潮湿多雨，南岛的南部和西南部地区则会变得更干燥。而对于新西兰全境而言，拉尼娜现象发生的时候会让全国大部分地区变得比平时更为温暖和干燥，也容易让一些地区产生旱情。 原文链接 相关阅读： 非常意外！“阳光之城”变了，Tekapo竟成新西兰阳光最充足的地方 炎热干燥！今年夏天新西兰的气温或将飙升至39度 NIWA：2023年是新西兰有记录以来第二热的一年 厄尔尼诺来袭 新西兰今夏出现热带气旋的风险有多大？ “厄尔尼诺”在路上，全球天气会受何影响？ 科学解释：今年雨水为什么格外泛滥？何时到头？ 注：凡引用、摘录或转自其他媒体的作品， 本网对其观点、真实性和知识产权恕不负责。
六 | 致力 于帮助文章传播，希望能够与作者建立长期合作关系。若有任何问题请联系[email protected]。 chineseherald.co.nz All Rights Reserved 版权所有 (责编：twinkle) 来源 - 凯特旅游新西兰KateTravel 相关内容 新西兰贸易部长：哈尔滨让人着迷，对中国经济有“绝对信心” 新西兰“偷车之都”是它：平均每天被偷6辆！ 突发！韩裔部长，被逐出内阁！ 奥克兰公交车又发生流血事件 6名青少年持刀袭击2少女 搞中国特色？新西兰考虑对现有高速公路收费...... 独家对话新西兰前总理：现在不应该减税，外交必须中立 今晨奥克兰CBD有人被威胁并抢劫 事发繁忙街道 新西兰北岛又发生地震 逾千人有震感。
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